Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2516.970842 2716.473701 2916.612470 3132.132799 3357.341421 3585.423657 3833.569033
2026-01-04 2219.897451 2521.709341 2833.759798 3179.303082 3550.046471 3934.774664 4363.079939
2026-01-11 2002.420890 2367.308261 2753.406268 3189.912917 3667.286764 4171.237462 4741.210628
2026-01-18 1835.551478 2246.555713 2690.155962 3200.451009 3767.309251 4374.013380 5068.803052
2026-01-25 1694.506429 2140.937662 2631.508670 3204.595884 3849.931406 4548.818905 5357.642309
2026-02-01 1554.511632 2025.942627 2553.038607 3177.830771 3890.353104 4670.384219 5581.752363
2026-02-08 1445.375702 1939.063577 2499.946873 3173.630295 3950.642349 4809.408720 5821.126647
2026-02-15 1336.608279 1845.961213 2433.897443 3149.227677 3983.283522 4913.461613 6017.882888
2026-02-22 1280.269559 1812.014196 2433.992470 3198.803809 4098.455806 5109.101353 6316.533878
2026-03-01 1209.557955 1756.446572 2405.007823 3211.202131 4168.032305 5250.755462 6552.301107
2026-03-08 1123.642050 1677.609768 2344.325187 3182.620745 4186.844439 5331.756127 6716.772775
2026-03-15 1038.792465 1595.942544 2276.652335 3142.434431 4189.196418 5391.434170 6854.769034
2026-03-22 1035.154169 1619.705570 2340.736043 3264.418142 4387.582841 5683.427161 7266.629832
2026-03-29 996.446440 1595.942568 2344.388427 3311.860447 4496.645146 5871.236232 7558.394828
2026-04-05 944.037405 1551.423236 2319.795402 3322.720841 4560.265640 6004.593371 7785.962965
2026-04-12 895.313365 1509.437906 2296.489885 3333.530320 4622.522845 6135.407786 8009.924108
2026-04-19 847.105357 1465.822867 2269.219634 3337.782060 4675.523619 6254.316827 8219.253860
2026-04-26 789.076130 1405.826917 2218.399107 3310.325865 4687.986081 6323.563901 8368.907811
2026-05-03 743.925383 1361.835836 2186.906359 3306.016734 4727.871417 6424.868474 8556.009931
2026-05-10 693.717155 1308.168843 2140.595823 3280.981805 4740.603852 6492.367608 8702.007840
2026-05-17 674.478074 1298.808934 2153.235722 3331.840617 4848.028285 6674.561837 8985.404314
2026-05-24 642.689048 1269.315519 2137.362688 3344.558545 4906.789660 6797.117825 9196.997915
2026-05-31 598.207256 1218.552691 2090.610187 3315.239678 4911.214079 6852.409971 9326.899230